The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 70.6%
Draw 18.7%
Nagano Parceiro 10.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.2%
18.7%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
14.3%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanfrecce Hiroshima that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nagano Parceiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagano Parceiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Asakura K. ⚽,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nagano Parceiro is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Nagano Parceiro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:10 (averaging 1.7:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sanfrecce Hiroshima against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 10:1 goals (averaging 1.4:0.1 per game).