Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 38

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Sangiuliano City Nova		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.32	5.25	6
	1.51	4.24	4.15
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	1.47	3.9	6.7	Watch
	1.48	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.92)	3.98 ↑ (3.25)	5.41 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sangiuliano City Nova
59.6%

Draw
23.3%

Pro Patria
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sangiuliano City Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sangiuliano City Nova's performance.

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pro Patria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sangiuliano City Nova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pro Patria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Sangiuliano City Nova - Pro Patria Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sangiuliano City will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Pro Patria will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).

Recent matches Sangiuliano City Nova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pro Patria is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pro Patria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sangiuliano City Nova is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sangiuliano City Nova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie C Group A
16.04.23	Triestina - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:0 ✺
06.04.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Padova - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWT
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
16.04.23	Pro Patria - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Lecco - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Pro Patria - Pordenone	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	1:4 ✺
19.03.23	Juventus U23 - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.12.22	Pro Patria - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Leon - Pro Patria	✺

Sangiuliano City Nova - Pro Patria