The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Patria 28.8%
Draw 30%
AlbinoLeffe 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
28.5%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
27.7%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.
AlbinoLeffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AlbinoLeffe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AlbinoLeffe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 19. Travaglini C. 93. Dimarco C. 26. Masi A. 5. Di Munno A. 80. Bagatti N. 7. Orfei A. 25. Ferri D. 56. Ganz S. 10. Mastroianni F.
1. Di Chiara S. (G) 28. Gusu M. 4. Potop S. (C) 30. Baroni R. 2. Barba B. 6. Astrologo A. 18. Parlati S. 42. Lupinetti T. 23. Sottini E. 34. Svidercoschi S. 10. De Paoli A.
Substitutes
13. Aliata T. 15. Auci A. 14. Citterio G. 12. Gnonto R. (G) 24. Marra A. 20. Mora C. 39. Motolese M. 11. Renelus B. 40. Schiro T. 9. Udoh K. 6. Viti M.
19. Agostinelli M. 20. Ambrosini M. 21. Angeloni M. 26. Bonfanti R. (G) 58. Brighenti R. 46. Carrara P. (G) 7. Garattoni A. 79. Lekaj K. 8. Lombardi A. 5. Mandelli A. 11. Sali G. 99. Sarr A. M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Lupinetti T. ⚽,
12', Lupinetti T. 🟨,
35', Ganz S. 🟨,
35', Baroni R. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Lupinetti T. ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, Potop S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ferri D. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
46', Lupinetti T. ↓, Agostinelli M. ↑,
50', Ganz S. ↓, Udoh K. ↑,
59', De Paoli A. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
60', Svidercoschi S. ↓, Sarr A. M. ↑,
70', Udoh K. 🟨,
74', Bagatti N. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
74', Reggiori P. ↓, Auci A. ↑,
81', Baroni R. ↓, Garattoni A. ↑,
85', Parlati S. ↓, Mandelli A. ↑,
89', Di Munno A. 🟨,
90+1', Di Munno A. ↓, Marra A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 0.
Pro Patria is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
AlbinoLeffe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Pro Patria - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Rovida W. (G) 
Gusu M. 
Renelus B. 
Udoh K. 
Lekaj K. 
Sarr A. M. 
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