Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 14

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Lecco		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.2	4.65
	1.79	3.25	5.8
	1.62	3.51	5.71	Watch
	1.78	3.08	4.66	Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)	3.31 ↓ (3.51)	5.31 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
54.4%

Draw
28.1%

Pro Patria
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

26.4%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lecco - Pro Patria Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Lecco (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lecco will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lecco will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecco (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. (C) 18. Tanco G. J. 45. Rizzo M. 80. Kritta M. 21. Metlika A. 6. Mallamo A. 10. Furrer G. 26. Frigerio M. R. 5. Zanellato N. 25. Sipos L.	1. Rovida W. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 26. Masi A. 39. Motolese M. 93. Dimarco C. 25. Ferri D. 5. Di Munno A. 14. Citterio G. 27. Giudici L. 11. Renelus B. 10. Mastroianni F.
Substitutes
9. Alaoui A. 78. Anastasini J. 14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 11. Galeandro A. 7. Grassini D. 33. Lovisa N. 4. Marrone L. 19. Ndongue F. 17. Pellegrino G. 8. Voltan D.	13. Aliata T. 15. Auci A. 80. Bagatti N. 56. Ganz S. 12. Gnonto R. (G) 24. Marra A. 7. Orfei A. 21. Ricordi T. 40. Schiro T. 19. Travaglini C. 6. Viti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Furrer G. ⚽,
36', Kritta M. 🟨,
41', Di Munno A. 🟨,
43', Zanellato N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mallamo A. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
46', Di Munno A. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
58', Zanellato N. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
59', Citterio G. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
68', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
68', Furrer G. ↓, Ndongue F. ↑,
72', Dimarco C. ↓, Ganz S. ↑,
83', Rizzo M. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
88', Renelus B. ↓, Bagatti N. ↑,
90+5', Tanco G. J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lecco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lecco is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
09.11.25	Novara - Lecco	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lecco - Union ArzignanoChiampo	5:1 ✺
25.10.25	Renate - Lecco	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Lecco - Brescia	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lecco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWLW
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
08.11.25	Pro Patria - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Alcione - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Pro Patria - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Virtus Verona - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Pro Patria - Brescia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.02.25	Lecco - Pro Patria	2:1
12.10.24	Pro Patria - Lecco	2:1
08.04.23	Lecco - Pro Patria	2:1
04.12.22	Pro Patria - Lecco	2:0
Italian Serie C Group B
01.05.22	Lecco - Pro Patria	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
05.02.22	Pro Patria - Lecco	1:1
29.09.21	Lecco - Pro Patria	3:0

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