Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 33

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Juventus U23		Pro Patria

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.5
	2	2.95	3.6
	1.86	2.8	3.9
	1.94	3.04	4.05
	2	2.88	3.75
	1.99	3.13	3.8	Watch
	2.04	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.87)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)	3.75 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus U23
45.6%

Draw
30.4%

Pro Patria
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

31.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

25.9%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventus U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Juventus U23 - Pro Patria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventus U23 won 3.

Recent matches Juventus U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pro Patria has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juventus U23 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Juventus U23 won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventus U23 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.23	Pro Vercelli - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Novara - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Juventus U23 - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.03.23	Juventus U23 - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
25.02.23	Triestina - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.23	Pro Patria - Novara	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Triestina - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Pro Patria - Pro Sesto	1:3 ✺
26.02.23	Virtus Verona - Pro Patria	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
19.11.22	Pro Patria - Juventus U23	0:1
23.02.22	Juventus U23 - Pro Patria	1:0
12.09.21	Pro Patria - Juventus U23	1:0
09.05.21	Pro Patria - Juventus U23	1:3
29.03.21	Pro Patria - Juventus U23	1:0
06.12.20	Juventus U23 - Pro Patria	3:1
25.01.20	Pro Patria - Juventus U23	3:2

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