Match Info

Date: 15 January 2022, Saturday


	Sanjoanense		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.87	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.39	3.15	2.65
	2.52	3.17	2.73
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.41	3.32	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.12)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	2.88 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
39.6%

Draw
28.7%

Oliveirense
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

20.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanjoanense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oliveirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

Sanjoanense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sanjoanense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sanjoanense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
09.01.22	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	1:3 ✺
18.12.21	Sanjoanense - Pevidem	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Felgueiras - Sanjoanense	2:1 ✺
08.12.21	Canelas - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Sanjoanense - Fafe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLTW
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 3
19.12.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
11.12.21	Oliveirense - Braga B	2:4 ✺
07.12.21	Lusitânia - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Oliveirense - Pevidem	4:2 ✺
27.11.21	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.09.21	Oliveirense - Sanjoanense	2:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.17	Sanjoanense - Oliveirense	0:2
Club Friendly
04.08.15	Sanjoanense - Oliveirense	2:1

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