Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Felgueiras		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.72	3.55	4.65
	1.68	3.73	5	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.6
	1.72	3.54	4.78	Watch
	1.69	3.33	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)	3.49 ↓ (3.87)	4.78 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
54.2%

Draw
26.5%

Oliveirense
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Felgueiras - Oliveirense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Felgueiras will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felgueiras will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 61. Eiro 33. Dario 34. Silva A. 5. Rosas P. 18. Gabi 6. Martins H. 8. Landinho (C) 78. Moreira V. 7. Rivas M. 20. Berna	31. Ribeiro R. (G) 4. Bura (C) 75. Namora N. 54. Martins S. 2. Douglas Borel 8. Ondoa F. 14. Pereira D. 19. Lopes A. 16. Diallo A. 9. Martelo P. 10. Bruno Silva
Substitutes
77. Beni 17. Cruz F. 1. Didi (G) 4. Dudu Cruz 30. Feliz 14. Jean-Marie M. 11. Joao Rafael 10. Michel Costa 3. Pinto J.	26. Bastos L. 6. Dioh I. 40. Greis N. (G) 23. Gustavao 11. Joanderson 7. Joao Adriano 99. Sabino 13. Santos V. 25. Takahashi T.
Coaches
Bento A.	Pinto J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Lopes A. 🟨,
42', Gabi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Moreira V. ⚽,
62', Diallo A. ↓, Gustavao ↑,
62', Bruno Silva ↓, Joanderson ↑,
62', Martelo P. ↓, Dioh I. ↑,
76', Dioh I. ↓, Joao Adriano ↑,
79', Moreira V. ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
87', Berna 🟨,
87', Joao Adriano 🟨,
88', Bura ↓, Sabino ↑,
90+1', Berna ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
90+1', Landinho ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Felgueiras is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Felgueiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Felgueiras	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
21.12.25	Felgueiras - Porto B	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Leiria - Felgueiras	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Felgueiras - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
01.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Felgueiras - Farense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTT
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
22.12.25	Lusitânia - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Oliveirense - Chaves	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Benfica B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Oliveirense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Portimonense - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.25	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	2:1
05.01.25	Oliveirense - Felgueiras	0:3
Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.22	Oliveirense - Felgueiras	2:1
27.11.21	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	2:1

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