Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Vitoria Guimarães B		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.25
	2.7	3.25	2.33
	2.8	3.29	2.4
	2.8	3.32	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.5)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
32.9%

Draw
28.2%

Oliveirense
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

20.7%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliveirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Oliveirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Guimarães B won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães B won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
11.12.21	Lusitânia - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Pevidem - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:4 ✺
05.12.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Felgueiras	0:1 ✺
26.11.21	Canelas - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
06.11.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 3
11.12.21	Oliveirense - Braga B	2:4 ✺
07.12.21	Lusitânia - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Oliveirense - Pevidem	4:2 ✺
27.11.21	Felgueiras - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
05.11.21	Oliveirense - Canelas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
21.08.21	Oliveirense - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:2
Portuguese Liga 2
31.03.19	Oliveirense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0
01.12.18	Vitoria Guimarães B - Oliveirense	1:1
19.01.18	Oliveirense - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2
13.08.17	Vitoria Guimarães B - Oliveirense	0:0
09.03.16	Vitoria Guimarães B - Oliveirense	4:2
18.10.15	Oliveirense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1

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