The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Canelas 42.8%
Draw 28.8%
Sanjoanense 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
27.9%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
28.9%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canelas's form might have worsened.
Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sanjoanense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matos J. (G) 3. Bastos V. 13. dos Santos Simao L. P. 14. Doukoure H. 5. Emanuel 2. Lixa G. 81. Rodrigues Mendes Teixeira J. D. 30. Santos D. M. 49. Silva J. 10. Sousa C. 28. Tank A.
36. Almeida D. (G) 9. Dinho 44. Fernandes G. 4. Fontes B. 83. Garcia A. 2. Gustavo 10. Jony J. 3. Moreira R. 26. Nkolo A. 5. Oliveira J. 95. Santos M.
Substitutes
24. Dani 88. Leite R. 98. Lourenco O. 80. Miguel B. (G) 19. Osemene O. 20. Ribeiro F. 8. Samu 66. Soares J. 11. Sousa A.
21. Ferreira C. 11. Magalhaes J. 32. Magalhaes Marques D. 75. Martins P. 8. Oliveira H. 14. Prieto Andrade G. A. 19. Ronaldo A. 99. Santos D. (G) 17. Santos D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Santos M. ⚽,
13', Tank A. 🟨,
13', Fontes B. 🟨,
25', Oliveira J. 🟨,
32', Moreira R. 🟨,
44', dos Santos Simao L. P. 🟨,
45+1', Gustavo 🟨,
45+1', Rodrigues Mendes Teixeira J. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bastos V. ↓, Lourenco O. ↑,
57', Oliveira J. ↓, Martins P. ↑,
61', Nkolo A. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Sousa C. ⚽,
72', Emanuel 🟨,
77', Rodrigues Mendes Teixeira J. D. ↓, Osemene O. ↑,
77', Sousa C. ↓, Ribeiro F. ↑,
79', Santos M. 🟨,
80', Doukoure H. 🟨,
84', Jony J. ↓, Magalhaes J. ↑,
90', Santos M. ↓, Ferreira C. ↑,
90+3', Osemene O. 🟥,
90+6', dos Santos Simao L. P. ↓, Samu ↑,
90+6', Doukoure H. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
90+6', Ferreira C. 🟨,
90+6', Ribeiro F. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Canelas won 1.
Recent matches Canelas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sanjoanense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Canelas will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Canelas won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Canelas won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
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Matos J. (G) 
Doukoure H. 
Emanuel 
Nkolo A. 
Lourenco O. 
Osemene O. 
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