Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Sant Andreu		Formentera

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.25	4.75
	1.66	3.5	5	Watch
	1.7	3.45	6.22
	1.7	3.09	6.22
	1.63	3.32	5.35
	1.66	3.35	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.97)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	5.42 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sant Andreu
55.3%

Draw
27.7%

Formentera
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sant Andreu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sant Andreu's performance.

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Formentera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sant Andreu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Formentera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sant Andreu - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Sant Andreu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Formentera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sant Andreu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sant Andreu is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.11.23	Espanyol B - Sant Andreu	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Sant Andreu - Lleida	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Badalona Futur - Sant Andreu	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Manresa - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLTT
- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.11.23	Formentera - Torrent	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Formentera - Valencia B	1:3 ✺
12.11.23	Espanyol B - Formentera	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Formentera - Lleida	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Badalona Futur - Formentera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLWWL

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