Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Santa Amalia		Gévora

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.55
	2.08	3.07	3.58
	3.91	1.51	6.10	Watch
	2.03	3.02	3.6
	1.85	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.88)	2.79 ↓ (3.35)	4.16 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Amalia
41.3%

Draw
35.1%

Gévora
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Amalia's form might have worsened.

Gévora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Santa Amalia - Gévora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Santa Amalia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santa Amalia is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.11.25	Calamonte - Santa Amalia	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Santa Amalia - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Jaraíz - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Santa Amalia - Montehermoso	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Santa Amalia - Cabeza del Buey	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLWT
- CD Gévora
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.11.25	Gévora - Azuaga	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gévora - Jerez	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Calamonte - Gévora	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Gévora - Puebla de la Calzada	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Jaraíz - Gévora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWTL

Santa Amalia - Gévora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide