The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puebla de la Calzada 33.9%
Draw 30.6%
Montijo 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
31.5%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
33%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Puebla de la Calzada - Montijo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
Puebla is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Montijo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Montijo has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.