The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montijo 58.5%
Draw 25.4%
Calamonte 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.7%
22.7%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.7%
22%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Calamonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montijo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Montijo - Calamonte Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Montijo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Calamonte is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Montijo is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Montijo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Watch
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