Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio de Piedades (Santa Ana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV


	Santa Ana		Santos de Guápiles

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	4.2
	1.88	3.2	3.6
	1.92	3.5	3.65
	1.91	3.7	3.83
	1.91	3.6	3.81	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.8
	1.89	3.48	3.76	Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.77)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)	3.79 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Ana
49%

Draw
26.5%

Santos de Guápiles
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27.4%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Ana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Santos de Guápiles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos de Guápiles's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos de Guápiles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Ana - Santos de Guápiles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Rojas D. (G) 44. Bonilla J. 17. Camareno J. 33. Casado E. 15. Chevez A. 21. Juarez F. (C) 2. Lopez L. 55. Morera Alvarado G. M. 7. Ortiz J. 26. Vega K. 39. Villalobos M.	13. Aju M. (G) 22. Aguero J. 31. Aguilar D. 88. Arauz A. 24. Barthley D. 25. Climaco A. 33. Cortes W. 8. Esquivel M. 3. Ordain J. (C) 6. Ramirez F. 53. Villalobos J.
Substitutes
19. Castro G. 5. Fallas L. 6. Madrigal J. 95. Nixon Guylherme 28. Ortiz K. 1. Pemberton P. (G) 14. Russell M.	15. Cedeno F. 7. Cordero Gonzalez J. 32. Leal Oscar 41. Leal Y. 14. Mendez G. 12. Parker D. (G) 20. Ruiz A.
Coaches
Salomon C.	Centeno W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Villalobos J. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Villalobos M. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Villalobos J. ⚽,
42', Arauz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', Bonilla J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Villalobos J. ⚽,
59', Bonilla J. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
65', Juarez F. ↓, Russell M. ↑,
65', Ortiz J. ↓, Nixon Guylherme ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Castro G. ⚽,
70', 3 - 2, Nixon Guylherme ⚽,
72', Esquivel M. ↓, Mendez G. ↑,
76', Casado E. ↓, Madrigal J. ↑,
76', Camareno J. ↓, Fallas L. ↑,
77', Arauz A. ↓, Cordero Gonzalez J. ↑,
77', Barthley D. ↓, Leal Y. ↑,
81', 3 - 3, Cordero Gonzalez J. ⚽,
87', Aguilar D. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 9).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Santa Ana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santa Ana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Ana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Santa Ana
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.04.25	Herediano - Santa Ana	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Santa Ana - Municipal Liberia	1:4 ✺
12.04.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Santa Ana	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Santa Ana - Guanacasteca	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sporting San José - Santa Ana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
19.04.25	Santos de Guápiles - Puntarenas FC	1:1 ✺
15.04.25	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Santos de Guápiles - Sporting San José	2:3 ✺
06.04.25	Alajuelense - Santos de Guápiles	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Liberia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Santa Ana	2:3
07.11.24	Santos de Guápiles - Santa Ana	1:0
18.09.24	Santa Ana - Santos de Guápiles	1:1

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