Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero (Heredia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV
North-central-america	Centro America TV
Usa	Fanatiz


	Herediano		Santa Ana

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7
	1.43	4.1	6
	1.36	4.8	7.4	Watch
	1.34	4.99	8.89
	1.36	4.73	8.51	Watch
	1.44	4	7
	1.35	5.06	7.6	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.38)	4.65 ↑ (4.37)	7.48 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herediano
67.6%

Draw
20%

Santa Ana
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

21.1%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

19.9%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Herediano - Santa Ana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Herediano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Santa Ana (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Ana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Carvajal D. (G) 38. Montes G. 99. Brown K. 55. Roman Y. 32. Mclean K. 80. Rodriguez A. 24. Rodriguez S. 22. Murillo A. 10. Aguilar E. 9. Hernandez M. 62. Tepa	35. Rojas D. (G) 26. Vega K. 2. Lopez L. 25. Dawson R. 44. Bonilla J. 5. Fallas L. 55. Morera Alvarado G. M. 21. Juarez F. 17. Camareno J. 33. Casado E. 7. Ortiz J.
Substitutes
11. Araya R. 14. Gonzalez A. 23. Hernandez A. 26. Juarez E. 5. Quiros H. 28. Vega R. 92. Walker A. (G)	8. Condega J. 6. Madrigal J. 28. Ortiz K. 1. Pemberton P. (G) 14. Russell M. 60. Vargas Fernandez J. 39. Villalobos M.
Coaches
Soto J.	Salomon C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Casado E. ⚽,
24', Rodriguez A. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
41', Araya R. 🟨,
41', Dawson R. 🟨,
45+4', Montes G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Juarez E. ↑,
46', Hernandez M. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Vega R. ⚽,
68', Vega R. 🟨,
71', Mclean K. ↓, Quiros H. ↑,
74', Aguilar E. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
74', Ortiz J. ↓, Villalobos M. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Tepa ⚽,
82', Fallas L. ↓, Russell M. ↑,
83', Bonilla J. ↓, Condega J. ↑,
87', Camareno J. ↓, Vargas Fernandez J. ↑,
87', Morera Alvarado G. M. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

Herediano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Ana has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Herediano is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Herediano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Herediano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.04.25	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Herediano - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Herediano - Pérez Zeledón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTLW
- AD Santa Ana
Costa Rican Primera Division
16.04.25	Santa Ana - Municipal Liberia	1:4 ✺
12.04.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Santa Ana	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Santa Ana - Guanacasteca	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sporting San José - Santa Ana	3:1 ✺
27.03.25	Santa Ana - Cartagines	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
02.03.25	Santa Ana - Herediano	1:1
21.09.24	Herediano - Santa Ana	2:1
03.08.24	Santa Ana - Herediano	1:1
Costa Rican Copa
26.11.22	Santa Ana - Herediano	0:0
15.11.22	Herediano - Santa Ana	3:0

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