Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero (Heredia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV


	Herediano		Santos de Guápiles

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	6.5
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.44	4.4	6.4	Watch
	1.44	4.59	6.86
	1.45	4.38	6.77	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6.5
	1.42	4.33	6.76	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	4.28 ↓ (4.36)	6.49 ↓ (7.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Herediano
64.1%

Draw
21.6%

Santos de Guápiles
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.2%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Santos de Guápiles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Herediano - Santos de Guápiles Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Herediano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Herediano will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Carvajal D. (G) 10. Aguilar E. 99. Brown K. 8. Cruz A. 9. Hernandez M. 32. Mclean K. 22. Murillo A. 19. Perez J. 5. Quiros H. 24. Rodriguez S. 62. Tepa	13. Aju M. (G) 31. Aguilar D. 88. Arauz A. 27. Basulto M. 25. Climaco A. 33. Cortes W. 91. Evans J. 41. Leal Y. 3. Ordain J. (C) 20. Ruiz A. 53. Villalobos J.
Substitutes
11. Araya R. 14. Gonzalez A. 23. Hernandez A. 26. Juarez E. 80. Rodriguez A. 28. Vega R. 92. Walker A. (G)	24. Barthley D. 29. Cerdas K. 7. Cordero Gonzalez J. 14. Mendez G. 12. Parker D. (G) 6. Ramirez F. 9. Rodriguez F.
Coaches
Soto J.	Centeno W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Cruz A. ⚽,
25', Evans J. 🟨,
30', Arauz A. 🟨,
36', Ordain J. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Tepa ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Basulto M. (Pen),
45+5', Ruiz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leal Y. ↓, Barthley D. ↑,
58', Cruz A. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
58', Tepa ↓, Araya R. ↑,
67', Ruiz A. ↓, Ramirez F. ↑,
70', Villalobos J. ↓, Cordero Gonzalez J. ↑,
70', Aguilar D. ↓, Cerdas K. ↑,
71', Hernandez M. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
78', Aguilar E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
78', Mclean K. ↓, Juarez E. ↑,
82', Hernandez A. 🟨,
90+2', Quiros H. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Herediano won 3.

Herediano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santos de Guápiles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos de Guápiles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Herediano is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Herediano won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:21 (average 1.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Herediano won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
11.04.25	Municipal Liberia - Herediano	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Herediano - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Herediano - Pérez Zeledón	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Sporting San José - Herediano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLWW
- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
12.04.25	Santos de Guápiles - Sporting San José	2:3 ✺
06.04.25	Alajuelense - Santos de Guápiles	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Liberia	0:1 ✺
27.03.25	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Guanacasteca - Santos de Guápiles	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
13.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	2:2
01.12.24	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	0:2
31.08.24	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	3:4
13.04.24	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	0:4
21.02.24	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	2:1
22.11.23	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	3:0
16.09.23	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	1:1

Upcoming Matches