Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 9

Date: 28 March 2023, Tuesday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Íbis

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	9.75
	1.18	5.6	9.25
	1.13	6.46	12.51
	1.14	6.5	13
	1.12	8.1	14.5
	1.26	5.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.46)	6.31 ↑ (3.93)	11.24 ↑ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
77.5%

Draw
14.4%

Íbis
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.4%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

22.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.

Íbis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Íbis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Íbis than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Íbis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Santa Cruz Recife - Íbis Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Íbis will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Santa Cruz is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Íbis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Cruz is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
25.03.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Central SC	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Fortaleza	0:4 ✺
18.03.23	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.03.23	América Mineiro - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
11.03.23	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTLL
- Íbis SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
25.03.23	Afogados da Ingazeira - Íbis	1:0 ✺
15.03.23	Íbis - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
11.03.23	CA Porto - Íbis	2:1 ✺
01.03.23	Sport Recife - Íbis	5:0 ✺
07.02.23	Íbis - Belo Jardim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
06.02.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Íbis	3:0

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