Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 8

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.6	3.7	1.65
	4.75	3.3	1.67
	4.89	3.45	1.68
	5	3.4	1.62
	4.85	3.7	1.64	Watch
	4.5	3.65	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (4.43)	3.53 ↑ (3.26)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
19.1%

Draw
25.8%

Fortaleza
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

27.7%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.1%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Santa Cruz Recife - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Cruz: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Santa Cruz have a series of guest games.

In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.03.23	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.03.23	América Mineiro - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
11.03.23	Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.03.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLLW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.03.23	Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.03.23	Cerro Porteño - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
12.03.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.03.23	Fortaleza - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.23	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.21	Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1
08.02.20	Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	3:0
09.05.19	Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0

Upcoming Matches