Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa		Comunicaciones

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.25
	3.1	2.8	2.25
	2.96	3.05	2.47
	3.32	3.02	2.2
	3.35	2.95	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.85)	2.92 ↑ (2.89)	2.28 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
28.8%

Draw
31.2%

Comunicaciones
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

31.4%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

31.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Comunicaciones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 0.

Santa Lucía is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Comunicaciones is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Comunicaciones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Santa Lucía won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucía won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.02.23	Antigua GFC - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Cobán Imperial	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Malacateco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	3:0 ✺
01.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Xinabajul	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Municipal - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLL
- CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.02.23	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
10.02.23	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Antigua GFC - Comunicaciones	1:2 ✺
01.02.23	Comunicaciones - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Malacateco - Comunicaciones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.11.22	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:1
13.08.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Comunicaciones	1:1
14.05.22	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	0:0
11.05.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Comunicaciones	0:3
17.04.22	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0
09.02.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Comunicaciones	1:4
14.11.21	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	6:1

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