Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Santa Lucía (Malacatán) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	10:00	Claro Sports
Venezuela	12:00	Inter


	Malacateco		Comunicaciones

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.00	3.25
	2.08	3	3.25
	2.12	3.09	3.58
	2.14	3.11	3.56	Watch
	2.07	3.05	3.5
	2.21	3.05	3.47
	2.11	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacateco
43.3%

Draw
29.9%

Comunicaciones
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.4%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Malacateco - Comunicaciones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Guzman A. (G) . Andrade N. . Castanon J. . Chun M. . Correa J. . de Leon I. . Esqueda Romero J. A. . Meneses R. . Morales F. . Ochoa J. . Quinones E.	1. Perez F. (G) 31. Bradley D. 3. Cruz Martin E. 8. Dantaz Paredes P. M. 4. Espino K. 77. Garcia N. 2. Grijalva K. 32. Olivera Moreira L. N. 33. Osorio J. 10. Reyes D. 13. Robles S. (C)
Substitutes
. Comayagua R. . Cummings H. . Longo J. . Paz V. . Quinteros F. 8. Ramirez K. . Rendon C. (G) . Soto A. . Trigueno J.	36. Camacho S. 7. Castaneda B. 19. de la Cruz A. . Diaz Bran A. E. (G) . Dominguez-Ramirez M. 27. Duarte O. 25. Lemus E. . Prada D. . Ramirez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Correa J. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Morales F. 🟨,
45', Reyes D. 🟨,
45+3', Espino K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Espino K. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
46', Reyes D. ↓, Dominguez-Ramirez M. ↑,
46', Grijalva K. ↓, Lemus E. ↑,
64', Bradley D. ↓, Duarte O. ↑,
66', Castanon J. ↓, Comayagua R. ↑,
66', Correa J. ↓, Paz V. ↑,
72', Camacho S. 🟥,
77', de Leon I. ↓, Trigueno J. ↑,
77', Andrade N. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
84', Dantaz Paredes P. M. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Quinones E. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 10th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Malacateco holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Malacateco has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:35 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Malacateco against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:11 goals (averaging 1.7:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Malacateco	16	5	4	7	18:23	-5	19
11	Comunicaciones	16	5	2	9	18:24	-6	17

Last Results with these Odds

Comunicaciones - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.62%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.10.26	Xelajú - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Cobán Imperial - Malacateco	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Marquense - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW
- CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
14.10.26	Comunicaciones - Aurora	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Comunicaciones - Suchitepéquez	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	2:3 ✺
18.09.26	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.08.26	Comunicaciones - Malacateco	4:2
26.04.26	Malacateco - Comunicaciones	1:0
03.03.26	Comunicaciones - Malacateco	3:2
23.11.25	Malacateco - Comunicaciones	2:0
16.09.25	Comunicaciones - Malacateco	1:0
23.04.25	Malacateco - Comunicaciones	2:2
23.02.25	Comunicaciones - Malacateco	2:1

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