Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Santa Lucia (Santa Lucia)


	Santa Lucia		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	2.85	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.74	3.08	2.57
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	2.89	3.13	2.32
	2.85	3.25	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.33)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.29 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucia
32.2%

Draw
28.2%

Naxxar Lions
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.9%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

27.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naxxar Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Lucia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naxxar Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Celio (G) 15. Bradshaw A. 3. Ellul M. 80. Gomes E. 6. Letherby D. 21. Moracci S. 18. Mrdja A. 27. Piazza A. 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 55. Xerri S.	1. Debono M. (G) 15. Cassar R. (C) 20. Elizeu 10. Farias E. 5. Fernando Barbosa 33. Joao Moura 22. Marcilio W. 3. Micallef N. 9. Pablo 8. Pace Cocks N. 17. Yamaguchi T.
Substitutes
16. Formosa C. (G) 11. Lucas Sena 10. Nagamatsu T. 4. Ogouvide A. 22. Oliviera C. 33. Patrick 19. Scicluna Z. 29. Valletta J. 1. Vella D. (G) 20. Virano G. 14. Xuereb D.	16. Blandon R. 28. Bonanno G. 25. Debono K. 31. Degabriele S. 18. Ellul J. 11. Falzon D. 13. Farrugia L. 12. Kikushima M. (G) 23. Maicon 4. Mercieca R. 99. Vella A. (G)
Coaches
Zinnari A.	Vella G.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 7).

Recent matches Santa Lucia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Naxxar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Lucia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Naxxar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
10.02.24	Balzan - Santa Lucia	0:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
07.02.24	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	3:4 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
04.02.24	Santa Lucia - Paola Hibernians	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Floriana - Santa Lucia	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Birkirkara - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WLLLW
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
10.02.24	Naxxar Lions - Gżira United	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	4:1 ✺
28.01.24	Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Naxxar Lions - Mosta	0:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
01.10.23	Naxxar Lions - Santa Lucia	4:0
Club Friendly
01.09.23	Naxxar Lions - Santa Lucia	1:7
Maltese Challenge League
17.02.19	Naxxar Lions - Santa Lucia	2:2
30.09.18	Santa Lucia - Naxxar Lions	4:1

Santa Lucia - Naxxar Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide