Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 16

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Santa Maria Cilento		Catania

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.87
	3.58	3.21	1.92
	4.34	3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (5.55)	3.07 ↓ (3.38)	1.9 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Maria Cilento
22.9%

Draw
29.4%

Catania
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

25.7%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

23.7%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Maria Cilento's performance.

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Maria Cilento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Santa Maria Cilento - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santa Maria Cilento will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Catania will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Winners stage).

Santa Maria Cilento is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Catania is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Catania could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Santa Maria Cilento have a series of guest games.

In this match Catania is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Maria Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.12.22	Vibonese - Santa Maria Cilento	3:1 ✺
27.11.22	San Luca - Santa Maria Cilento	2:2 ✺
23.11.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Trapani - Santa Maria Cilento	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Castrovillari - Santa Maria Cilento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTLT
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.12.22	Catania - Real Agro Aversa	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Sancataldese - Catania	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Catania - Acireale	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Catania - Canicattì	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Cittanovese - Catania	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWWT

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