Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 15

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Razza (Vibo Valentia)


	Vibonese		Santa Maria Cilento

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.7
	1.75	3.14	3.8
	1.8	3.5	3.75
	1.79	3.4	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	3.83 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
50.1%

Draw
26.6%

Santa Maria Cilento
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vibonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vibonese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Santa Maria Cilento have a series of guest games.

In this match Vibonese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.12.22	Real Agro Aversa - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Vibonese - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Acireale - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Vibonese - Lamezia Terme	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Canicattì - Vibonese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTTW
- Santa Maria Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.11.22	San Luca - Santa Maria Cilento	2:2 ✺
23.11.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Trapani - Santa Maria Cilento	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Castrovillari - Santa Maria Cilento	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Sancataldese - Santa Maria Cilento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLTT

Vibonese - Santa Maria Cilento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide