Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 16 May 2026, Saturday
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Santa Marta Tormes |
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Guijuelo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.98 |
3 |
|
 |
2.39 |
2.63 |
3.42 |
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2.32 |
2.92 |
3.18 |
 Watch |
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2.3 |
2.8 |
3 |
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2.27 |
2.86 |
3.23 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.34) |
2.84 ↓
(3.03) |
3.17 ↑
(3.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santa Marta Tormes
39.4% | Draw
32% | Guijuelo
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+2%)Santa Marta Tormes - Guijuelo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 1, Collado A. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 2.Santa Marta Tormes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Guijuelo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).Santa Marta Tormes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Santa Marta Tormes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
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| 14 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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