Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 10

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Santa Tecla		Luis Ángel Firpo

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.45
	2.7	3	2.5	Watch
	2.95	2.98	2.61
	2.95	2.98	2.61
	2.73	3.05	2.42
	2.7	3.05	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.4)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.52 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Tecla
33.1%

Draw
30.5%

Luis Ángel Firpo
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Tecla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Tecla won 1.

Santa Tecla is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Luis Ángel Firpo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Luis Ángel Firpo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Santa Tecla won 7 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 34-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Tecla won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Tecla FC
El Salvador Primera Division
05.03.24	Isidro Metapán - Santa Tecla	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Santa Tecla	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
07.02.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Santa Tecla	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Santa Tecla - CD FAS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.9 WLTWW
- Luis Ángel Firpo
El Salvador Primera Division
06.03.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Jocoro	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Municipal Limeño	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Isidro Metapán - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	2:1 ✺
07.02.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
08.11.23	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:0
06.09.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Santa Tecla	3:0
07.05.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Santa Tecla	1:2
11.03.23	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:0
07.05.22	Luis Ángel Firpo - Santa Tecla	2:0
05.03.22	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:5
20.11.21	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:2

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