Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Santa Tecla		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	3.9	3.15	1.97
	3.9	3.15	1.9
	3.76	3.18	2	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.61)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	1.96 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Tecla
24.5%

Draw
29%

Alianza San Miguel
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.8%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27.4%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Tecla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Tarifa G. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Julio S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Tecla FC
El Salvador Primera Division
10.04.24	Santa Tecla - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	CD FAS - Santa Tecla	5:1 ✺
31.03.24	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Santa Tecla	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Santa Tecla - CD Dragón	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Santa Tecla - Municipal Limeño	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
10.04.24	Jocoro - Alianza San Miguel	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	1:1 ✺
27.03.24	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	0:3 ✺
24.03.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Alianza San Miguel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
11.02.24	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	0:0
22.10.23	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	0:2
27.08.23	Alianza San Miguel - Santa Tecla	2:2
13.05.23	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	1:2
19.03.23	Alianza San Miguel - Santa Tecla	0:0
19.10.22	Alianza San Miguel - Santa Tecla	0:1
28.09.22	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	1:2

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