Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday


	Santa Tecla		Águila

	1	X	2
	8	4.4	1.32
	9.15	4.68	1.35
	9.15	4.69	1.35
	8.6	4.71	1.33
	8	4.5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.58 ↑ (5.22)	4.6 ↑ (3.71)	1.33 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Tecla
10.8%

Draw
20.1%

Águila
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.9%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

24.9%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Tecla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Tecla's form might have worsened.

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águila's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Tecla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águila, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Reyes K. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Rivas Linares E. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', 2 - 1, Cardona E. ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Salazar C. ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, Espinoza F. ⚽,
88', 2 - 4, Salazar C. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Tecla won 0.

Santa Tecla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Águila is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Águila have a series of guest games.

In this match Águila is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Santa Tecla won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 21-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Tecla won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Tecla FC
El Salvador Primera Division
21.04.24	Santa Tecla - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	Santa Tecla - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	CD FAS - Santa Tecla	5:1 ✺
31.03.24	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Santa Tecla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTTLL
- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
21.04.24	Jocoro - Águila	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Águila - Luis Ángel Firpo	4:2 ✺
10.04.24	Isidro Metapán - Águila	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Municipal Limeño - Águila	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
20.03.24	Santa Tecla - Águila	1:2
08.10.23	Águila - Santa Tecla	2:2
13.08.23	Santa Tecla - Águila	0:1
19.04.23	Águila - Santa Tecla	3:1
28.01.23	Santa Tecla - Águila	1:2
23.03.22	Santa Tecla - Águila	2:2
26.01.22	Águila - Santa Tecla	4:1

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