Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday


	Santa Tecla		Fuerte San Francisco

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.86	3.12	2.52
	2.86	3.12	2.53
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.22	2.38
	2.75	3.2	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.82)	3.15 ↑ (2.98)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Tecla
32.7%

Draw
29%

Fuerte San Francisco
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

31%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Tecla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Angulo L. ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, Sanchez F. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).

Santa Tecla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fuerte San Francisco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Tecla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fuerte San Francisco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santa Tecla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Tecla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Tecla FC
El Salvador Primera Division
06.04.24	CD FAS - Santa Tecla	5:1 ✺
31.03.24	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Santa Tecla	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Santa Tecla - CD Dragón	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Santa Tecla - Municipal Limeño	2:4 ✺
20.03.24	Santa Tecla - Águila	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
07.04.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Jocoro	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	0:1 ✺
27.03.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Águila	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
07.02.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Santa Tecla	0:1
05.11.23	Santa Tecla - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1
10.09.23	Fuerte San Francisco - Santa Tecla	2:1

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