Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Santamarina de Tandil		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.87	2.62
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.8	2.65	2.75
	3.07	2.71	2.87
	2.8	2.7	2.75
	2.88	2.72	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.45)	2.73 ↓ (2.96)	2.74 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
32.7%

Draw
33.7%

Brown de Adrogué
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

22.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santamarina de Tandil's form might have worsened.

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santamarina de Tandil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brown de Adrogué could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santamarina de Tandil - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Primera Nacional (Promotion to Play Offs)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Santamarina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.21	Guillermo Brown - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
05.04.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Santamarina de Tandil	3:1 ✺
27.03.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Instituto Córdoba - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLTT
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.04.21	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3 ✺
11.04.21	San Telmo - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
04.04.21	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
29.03.21	San Martín de San Juan - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
21.03.21	Brown de Adrogué - All Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.12.20	Santamarina de Tandil - Brown de Adrogué	1:3
29.02.20	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0
09.09.19	Santamarina de Tandil - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
02.02.19	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1
15.04.18	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0
25.03.17	Santamarina de Tandil - Brown de Adrogué	3:1
27.08.16	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0

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