Match Info

Date: 8 August 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)

Referee: Ceballo C. (Arg)


	San Martín de San Juan		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	7	Watch
	1.6	3.3	6.25
	1.54	3.35	6.5
	1.61	3.25	5.8
	1.62	3.44	7.13
	1.63	3.1	6
	1.63	3.34	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)	3.33 ↑ (3.26)	6.32 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
57.6%

Draw
27.8%

Brown de Adrogué
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

28%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

29.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	18.2%	13.6%

San Martín de San Juan - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Martín: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Brown de Adrogué could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Martín is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Martín won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.08.22	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
28.07.22	San Martín de San Juan - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
22.07.22	Tristán Suárez - San Martín de San Juan	3:0 ✺
16.07.22	San Martín de San Juan - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
10.07.22	Instituto Córdoba - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.07.22	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
26.07.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
23.07.22	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1 ✺
17.07.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Brown de Adrogué - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.08.21	Brown de Adrogué - San Martín de San Juan	1:0
29.03.21	San Martín de San Juan - Brown de Adrogué	1:2
Copa Argentina
21.07.18	San Martín de San Juan - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 penalties
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.14	Brown de Adrogué - San Martín de San Juan	1:2
01.12.13	San Martín de San Juan - Brown de Adrogué	3:1

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