The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Telmo 55.5%
Draw 27.4%
Brown de Adrogué 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.2%
23.9%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.3%
22.4%
12.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
0%
15.4%
San Telmo - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Users Predictions:
San Telmo will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bustos B. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Gonzalez H. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Gonzalez R. 5. Ramirez G. 10. Fernandez A. 11. Barreto J. 7. Larthirigoyen I. 9. Diellos D.
1. Wysocki M. (G) 4. Bogado J. 2. Masuero A. (C) 6. Heredia M. 3. Gamarra G. 8. Sproat M. 5. Desio G. 7. Sangiovani R. 10. Sives T. 9. Nouet M. 11. Nouet F.
Substitutes
12. Balderrama M. A. (G) 17. Cosi J. 19. Heiz N. 13. Lillo G. 18. Mayenfisch G. 16. Medina C. 14. Pollacchi L. 20. Tisera F. 15. Yangali J.
13. Arrechea N. 18. Benitez F. 20. Buter L. 19. Castillo L. 14. Palomeque A. 16. Patrizio T. 15. Pereyra N. 12. Rehak G. (G) 17. Tellas G.
Coaches
Grelak A.
Vivaldo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Diellos D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Lamosa A. 🟨,
60', Barreto J. ↓, Mayenfisch G. ↑,
60', Larthirigoyen I. ↓, Cosi J. ↑,
61', Nouet F. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
61', Sives T. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
64', Ayala R. 🟨,
70', Tellas G. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
72', Desio G. ↓, Pereyra N. ↑,
72', Sangiovani R. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
73', Tellas G. 🟨,
78', Lamosa A. ↓, Lillo G. ↑,
78', Fernandez A. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
84', Diellos D. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
84', Nouet M. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Gonzalez R. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: )).
Recent matches San Telmo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Brown de Adrogué is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
San Telmo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match San Telmo is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches San Telmo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.
Including matches at home between the teams San Telmo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Argentina
Watch
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Bustos B. (G) 
Desio G. 
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