Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin (Tandil)


	Santamarina de Tandil		Juventud Unida Universitario

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.15	2.82	3.45	Watch
	2.02	2.79	4.09
	2.08	2.90	4.01	Watch
	2.11	2.85	3.64
	2.48	2.89	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.48)	2.84 ↓ (2.9)	3.56 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
42.2%

Draw
32.1%

Juventud Unida Universitario
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

30.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santamarina de Tandil's performance.

Juventud Unida Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida Universitario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida Universitario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santamarina de Tandil - Juventud Unida Universitario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moris U. (G) 8. Arregui L. 7. Dezi L. 11. Hernandez Castro T. J. 5. Igartua N. 4. Lucero A. 10. Marin Q. 3. Martinez M. 2. Palmieri M. 6. Romat N. 9. Urruchua G.	1. Lucero J. (G) 11. Dorato M. 3. Garro E. 10. Garro T. 4. Gimenez J. 2. Godoy M. A. 5. Gomez M. 8. Moya S. 7. Noguera F. 6. Ojeda G. (C) 9. Salinas G.
Substitutes
16. Comachi L. 18. Comachi M. 20. D'Angelo T. 19. Navarro G. 17. Perez F. 13. Romero A. 15. Valenzuela P. 12. Vigo A. (G)	15. Cordoba D. 17. Escobares Becerra I. 13. Figueroa L. 18. Lima A. 12. Lorca E. (G) 14. Ojeda F. 16. Perez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Garro T. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Gimenez J. 🟨,
63', Hernandez Castro T. J. ↓, Comachi L. ↑,
63', Gimenez J. ↓, Figueroa L. ↑,
63', Garro T. ↓, Ojeda F. ↑,
75', Urruchua G. ↓, Comachi M. ↑,
86', 🟨,
89', Dezi L. ↓, D'Angelo T. ↑,
89', Lucero A. ↓, Labaroni M. ↑,
89', Salinas G. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
90+5', Dorato M. ↓, Lima A. ↑,

Preview

Santamarina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juventud Unida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Santamarina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Santamarina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.07.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Guillermo Brown	2:2 ✺
06.07.25	Sol de Mayo - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTLTW
- Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - Huracán Las Heras	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.10.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Juventud Unida Universitario	3:0
13.10.24	Juventud Unida Universitario - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.02.16	Santamarina de Tandil - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0

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