The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santamarina de Tandil 44%
Draw 32.3%
Guillermo Brown 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
30%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
28.2%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
The chances for Guillermo Brown have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santamarina de Tandil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Santamarina de Tandil - Guillermo Brown Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moris U. (G) 8. Alvarenga L. 7. Di Carlo R. 3. Dominguez L. 4. Gomez J. 5. Igartua N. 6. Lucero I. 10. Marchiori T. 2. Romat N. 9. Romero T. 11. San Martin B.
1. Grinovero A. (G) 9. Cucchi P. 6. Diaz R. 4. Kostelak A. 8. Mera B. 3. Moreno E. 2. Paparelli R. 10. Rivero M. 11. Vallejos I. 5. Varela N. 7. Zapulla I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Gomez J. 🟨,
26', Vallejos I. ↓, Hang F. ↑,
43', Diaz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Varela N. ↓, Giaccone F. ↑,
46', Kostelak A. ↓, Conde M. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Rivero M. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
88', 0 - 2, Mera B. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Santamarina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Santamarina won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Santamarina won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).