Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Santiago		Zacatepec Siglo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.12	4.54
	1.78	3.2	4.69	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.81	3.36	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.95)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	4.48 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago
51.1%

Draw
28.5%

Zacatepec Siglo
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.8%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Zacatepec Siglo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zacatepec Siglo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Santiago - Zacatepec Siglo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Santiago might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santiago won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Santiago won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.04.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Santiago	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Santiago	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Santiago - Atlético Hidalgo	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Santiago - Club Calor	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cordobés - Santiago	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWW
- Zacatepec Siglo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.04.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Santiago	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Canamy - Zacatepec Siglo	0:5 ✺
21.03.26	Ciervos - Zacatepec Siglo	2:3 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Deportivo Zitácuaro	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Atlético Hidalgo - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.04.26	Zacatepec Siglo - Santiago	1:1
09.01.26	Santiago - Zacatepec Siglo	0:1

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