Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Pintana (Santiago de Chile)


	Santiago Morning		Provincial Osorno

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.21	3.25	2.57
	2.71	3.19	2.47	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.4
	2.31	3.22	2.8
	2.36	3.25	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.36)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	2.57 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning
36.6%

Draw
28.4%

Provincial Osorno
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Provincial Osorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provincial Osorno than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Santiago Morning - Provincial Osorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bolado J. (G) 4. Almuna M. 7. Arancibia M. (C) 25. Arias S. 30. Barrientos J. 19. Coronado M. 5. Delgado M. 20. Jorquera M. 21. Monje J. 3. Montoya D. 22. Rojas A.	1. Retamal D. (G) 9. Bielkiewicz D. (C) 20. Castro G. 22. Cortez M. 7. Escobar F. 8. Gutierrez J. 23. Lauler G. 29. Meneses L. 19. Moreno A. 33. Sanguinetti F. 2. Yanez V.
Substitutes
13. Arredondo M. (G) 11. Escobar G. 6. Kuljis C. . Manriquez Hernandez F. 26. Munoz C. 2. Palomo N. 29. Quezada C.	11. Antilef E. 27. Cifuentes F. (G) 26. Cortes B. 28. Gonzalez D. 14. Namoncura S. 17. Soto C. 16. Vergara D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Almuna M. ↓, Palomo N. ↑,
46', Castro G. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
58', Monje J. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
58', Barrientos J. ↓, Quezada C. ↑,
63', Rojas A. ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
63', Coronado M. ↓, Kuljis C. ↑,
73', Moreno A. ↓, Namoncura S. ↑,
75', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Soto C. ↑,
86', Escobar F. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
86', Quezada C. 🟨,
90', Soto C. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Santiago Morning has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Provincial Osorno is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santiago Morning won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Osorno	6	1	1	4	5:9	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Morning
Chilean Segunda Division
24.05.26	Colchagua - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Santiago Morning - Deportes Rengo	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Deportes Linares - Santiago Morning	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Santiago Morning - Lota Schwager	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	General Velásquez - Santiago Morning	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWTL
- Provincial Osorno
Chilean Segunda Division
23.05.26	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Rengo	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Provincial Osorno - Lota Schwager	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	General Velásquez - Provincial Osorno	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Provincial Osorno - Colchagua	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Deportes Linares - Provincial Osorno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
04.04.26	Provincial Osorno - Santiago Morning	1:0

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