Match Info

CHILE: Copa Chile - Round 4

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander (Valparaíso)


	Santiago Wanderers		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.25	Watch
	2.24	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.26	3.21	3.22	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.08	3.47	Watch
	2.24	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (3.34)	3.15 ↓ (3.33)	3.22 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Wanderers
41.7%

Draw
29.5%

Deportes Limache
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

27.7%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

23.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santiago Wanderers's performance.

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Limache might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Limache could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Limache Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santiago Wanderers: 65% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Martinez B. (G) 26. Astroza Zambrano C. A. 13. Cubillos F. 30. Espinoza V. 18. Felipe S. 29. Gatica J. 23. Gonzalez V. 10. Luna J. 5. Navarro L. 8. Pereyra J. 22. Salas J.	26. Peranic N. (G) 2. Aguirre A. 20. Jara A. 25. Llanten M. 23. Pacheco G. 18. Penailillo N. 34. Pinares C. 24. Portilla D. 31. Silva B. 14. Tarifeno R. 4. Torrealba B.
Substitutes
19. Arias D. 25. Castellanos L. 27. Cuadra M. 4. Espinoza E. 16. Parra R. 14. Ponce C. 20. Silva J. 11. Valladares J. 33. Velasquez M.	22. Alvarez G. 7. Charpentier P. 33. Morales B. (G) 17. Morales C. 16. Ovalle J. 35. Paz G. 21. Riveros B. 15. Salgado H. 5. Sandoval M.
Coaches
Robles H.	Rivero V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jara A. ↓, Charpentier P. ↑,
60', Espinoza V. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
60', Astroza Zambrano C. A. ↓, Cuadra M. ↑,
60', Pereyra J. ↓, Valladares J. ↑,
66', Luna J. 🟨,
66', Parra R. 🟨,
78', Silva B. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
78', Tarifeno R. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
80', Luna J. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Salgado H. ⚽, Charpentier P. (A),
88', 0 - 2, Aguirre A. ⚽, Charpentier P. (A),
90', Pinares C. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
90', Navarro L. ↓, Ponce C. ↑,

Preview

Santiago Wanderers in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Limache is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Limache could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Santiago Wanderers to win the game is with odds 2.63.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Santiago Wanderers won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Wanderers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.03.25	San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers	1:2 ✺
10.03.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Antofagasta	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Wanderers	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Santiago Wanderers - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
16.02.25	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWTW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.25	Deportes Limache - Huachipato	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
28.02.25	Deportes Limache - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ñublense - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Deportes Limache - Everton de Viña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
09.02.25	Deportes Limache - Santiago Wanderers	1:2
Club Friendly
21.01.25	Deportes Limache - Santiago Wanderers	1:2
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.09.24	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Limache	1:1
21.04.24	Deportes Limache - Santiago Wanderers	2:2

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