The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 40.2%
Draw 29.1%
Santiago Wanderers 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
27.3%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
26.8%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos de Arica's form might have worsened.
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tapia B. (G) 15. Cubillos G. 17. Moya Godoy M. 5. Rivera J. 14. Guerra C. 8. Barrios A. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 22. Donadell N. 19. Maidana A. 20. Abalos A. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
12. Olivares R. (G) 3. Margas L. 18. Felipe S. (C) 17. Caceres C. 16. Navarro P. 5. Navarro L. 15. Villarroel M. 7. Herrera A. 8. Silva J. 30. Luco E. 9. Camarda M.
Substitutes
4. Iturra M. 30. Munoz J. (G) 27. Orrego I. 21. Orrego N. 16. Reyes G. 10. Sagredo B. 11. Zedan N.
4. Espinoza V. 22. Javier Parraguez 11. Lobos F. 36. Martinez B. (G) 6. Parra R. 38. Portilla D. 27. Vera V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Maidana A. 🟨,
18', Maidana A. 🟨,
31', Caceres C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caceres C. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
46', Luco E. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
51', Villarroel M. 🟨,
64', Cubillos G. 🟨,
67', Donadell N. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
68', Abalos A. ↓, Sagredo B. ↑,
69', Barrios A. 🟨,
76', Margas L. ↓, Espinoza V. ↑,
82', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
83', Barrios A. ↓, Orrego I. ↑,
83', Silva J. ↓, Vera V. ↑,
83', Villarroel M. ↓, Portilla D. ↑,
84', Lobos F. 🟨,
90', Herrera A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
San Marcos de Arica might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
Watch
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Tapia B. (G) 
Maidana A. 
Felipe S. (C) 
Zedan N. 
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