Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 11

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	Audax Italiano		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.65
	2.52	3.35	2.62
	2.68	3.54	2.65
	2.67	3.53	2.47	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.74	3.45	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.28)	3.38 (3.38)	2.57 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Italiano
36.2%

Draw
27.6%

Deportes Limache
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-5%)

Audax Italiano - Deportes Limache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ahumada T. (G) 35. Rebolledo R. 29. Ortiz M. 4. Pina D. 7. Guajardo P. 2. Zenteno V. 8. Collao M. (C) 23. Matus E. 11. Troyansky F. 21. Chiaverano G. 27. Fuentes M.	17. Gonzalez C. (G) 23. Gonzalez Y. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 4. Flores M. 25. Llanten M. 27. Ramon Martinez 16. Jean David 15. Alvarez V. 9. Sosa G. 19. Castro D.
Substitutes
18. Aedo N. 10. Cabral R. 9. Coelho D. 25. Garrido P. (G) 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 6. Sandoval M. 22. Valdes M.	26. Arturia M. 1. Borquez M. (G) 6. Fuentes C. 11. Marin F. 3. Molina B. 8. Montecinos J. 7. Morales C. 21. Moya F. 28. Vargas V.
Coaches
Lema G.	Rivero V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Zenteno V. ⚽,
39', Llanten M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Castro D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Llanten M. ↓, Fuentes C. ↑,
46', Alvarez V. ↓, Montecinos J. ↑,
46', Rebolledo R. ↓, Rojas Munoz O. J. ↑,
54', Troyansky F. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Aguirre A. (Own goal),
59', Flores M. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Ramon Martinez ⚽, Jean David (A),
66', Parot A. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
68', Fuentes M. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
73', Pina D. 🟨,
77', Sosa G. ↓, Moya F. ↑,
82', Rojas Munoz O. J. ↓, Aedo N. ↑,
82', Zenteno V. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
85', Moya F. 🟨,
86', Moya F. 🟥,
90+4', Collao M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Audax Italiano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Limache is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Audax Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Audax Italiano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33
12	A. Italiano	23	7	7	9	26:31	-5	28

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Limache - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.43%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
19.04.26	Huachipato - Audax Italiano	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
11.04.26	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	3:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Audax Italiano - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.04.26	OHiggins - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLLL
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
17.04.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Deportes Limache - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
31.03.26	Everton de Viña - Deportes Limache	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Deportes Limache - Palestino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
11.08.25	Deportes Limache - Audax Italiano	4:0
08.03.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Limache	3:1

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