Match Info

Date: 22 May 2021, Saturday


	Santiago Wanderers		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.95	3.1	2.23	Watch
	3.05	3.1	2.33
	3.2	3.24	2.43
	3.1	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.35	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.8)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	2.29 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Wanderers
30.3%

Draw
29.1%

OHiggins
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

21.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OHiggins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santiago Wanderers - OHiggins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Santiago Wanderers has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

O'Higgins is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santiago Wanderers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

O'Higgins will have a poor advantage in this game.

O'Higgins will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Santiago Wanderers won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Wanderers won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Primera Division
08.05.21	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Melipilla	0:3 ✺
03.05.21	Universidad de Chile - Santiago Wanderers	1:0 ✺
24.04.21	Santiago Wanderers - Ñublense	1:2 ✺
18.04.21	Cobresal - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
11.04.21	Santiago Wanderers - Unión La Calera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
07.05.21	OHiggins - Unión Española	1:4 ✺
02.05.21	Huachipato - OHiggins	0:1 ✺
24.04.21	OHiggins - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
17.04.21	OHiggins - Deportes La Serena	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
26.12.20	Santiago Wanderers - OHiggins	1:0
10.02.20	OHiggins - Santiago Wanderers	2:1
29.10.17	OHiggins - Santiago Wanderers	0:3
Chilean Cup
03.09.17	Santiago Wanderers - OHiggins	2:0
31.08.17	OHiggins - Santiago Wanderers	0:2
Chilean Primera Division
15.03.17	Santiago Wanderers - OHiggins	1:2
08.12.16	OHiggins - Santiago Wanderers	4:0

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