The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Chile 57.5%
Draw 23.7%
Santiago Wanderers 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
24.6%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
25.5%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Universidad de Chile - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Universidad de Chile will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 6. Fernandez N. 5. Ramirez N. 31. Tamayo B. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 29. Barrera L. 16. Rojas E. 14. Morales M. (C) 28. Arce A. 18. Lucero J.
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 31. Valenzuela C. 18. Felipe S. 16. Navarro P. 5. Navarro L. (C) 14. Ponce C. 8. Silva J. 32. Vargas V. 9. Camarda M. 37. San Martin D.
Substitutes
2. Calderon F. 21. Diaz M. 36. Fernandez F. 34. Ramirez V. 26. Riquelme M. 1. Toselli C. (G) 37. Ulloa C. 4. Vargas D. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
35. Avello F. (G) 20. Avendano L. 24. Dubo A. 23. Flores I. 22. Javier Parraguez 10. Luna J. 29. Silva C. 19. Villarroel C. 15. Villarroel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Navarro L. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Valenzuela C. (Own goal),
36', Fernandez N. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Guerrero Pena M. G. ⚽, Rojas E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Camarda M. ⚽, Vargas V. (A),
49', 3 - 1, Arce A. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
59', Silva J. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
59', Navarro L. ↓, Villarroel C. ↑,
59', San Martin D. ↓, Flores I. ↑,
61', Morales M. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
62', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
62', Fernandez N. ↓, Calderon F. ↑,
70', Vargas V. ↓, Dubo A. ↑,
80', Rojas E. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
81', Villarroel C. 🟨,
85', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
90+1', Ponce C. 🟨,
90+2', Ponce C. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
90+4', Felipe S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 3.
Universidad de Chile has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Santiago Wanderers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Santiago Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Universidad de Chile is seen as the favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
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Castellon G. (G) 
Tamayo B. 
Barrera L. 
Felipe S. 
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