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Current Win Probability
OHiggins 52.2%
Draw 26.5%
Unión Española 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
26.8%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
28.8%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
OHiggins - Unión Española Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pena Jorge (G) 20. Diaz L. 21. Garrido N. 27. Movillo J. 2. Morales C. 5. Pinto G. 14. Maturana M. 11. Leiva J. (C) 26. Godoy R. 32. Vecino T. 30. Tapia J.
12. Uribe E. (G) 16. Ormeno M. 18. Aja J. 3. Alarcon R. 24. Norambuena G. 17. Massri F. 5. Machado W. 14. Nunez I. 7. Vasquez R. 8. Rubio P. 10. Aranguiz P. (C)
Substitutes
33. Brizuela M. 16. Calderon E. 31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 8. Felipe Ogaz 24. Gonzalez F. 13. Munoz J. 15. Rojas B. 29. Yanez B.
4. Celis M. 15. Droguett B. 33. Jaramillo C. 6. Jauregui B. 32. Molina L. 25. Ovando T. 21. Pereira S. 34. Soto F. (G) 9. Vilches Araneda A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Rubio P. ⚽, Ormeno M. (A),
34', Aranguiz P. ↓, Molina L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tapia J. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Godoy R. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
65', Godoy R. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
65', Maturana M. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
65', Leiva J. ↓, Felipe Ogaz ↑,
69', Nunez I. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
69', Vasquez R. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
73', Pena Jorge 🟥,
75', Vecino T. ↓, Carabali O. ↑,
85', Machado W. ↓, Jaramillo C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
OHiggins may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, OHiggins is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, OHiggins won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.1:1.8).