Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 19

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Colo-Colo		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.53	4.20	5.50
	1.6	3.85	4.9	Watch
	1.63	4.05	5.58
	1.55	3.95	5.98	Watch
	1.61	4	5.35
	1.63	3.93	5.72	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.42)	3.96 ↓ (4.31)	5.39 ↓ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
59%

Draw
23.6%

OHiggins
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

20.4%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colo-Colo's form might have worsened.

OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colo-Colo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Colo Colo - OHiggins Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Colo-Colo (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maureira G. (G) 2. Villagra J. 23. Vidal A. (C) 4. Sosa J. 28. Rojas J. 6. Alarcon T. 5. Mendez V. 26. Ulloa D. 8. Madrid A. 24. Hernandez L. 19. Romero M.	31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 22. Robledo A. (C) 33. Brizuela M. 6. Pavez L. 17. Aviles T. 11. Leiva J. 29. Yanez B. 10. Rabello B. 25. Schor I. 9. Castillo A.
Substitutes
34. Catalan R. 9. Correa J. 13. Fernandez M. 7. Marchant F. 10. Pastran L. 50. Raipan F. 17. Roman I. 12. Villanueva E. (G) 21. Wiemberg E.	28. Bou W. 20. Diaz L. 21. Garrido N. 26. Godoy R. 14. Maturana M. 2. Morales C. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 7. Toloza S. 32. Vecino T.
Coaches
Ortiz F.	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Leiva J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Yanez B. ⚽, Rabello B. (A),
46', Robledo A. ↓, Garrido N. ↑,
46', Schor I. ↓, Godoy R. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Hernandez L. ⚽, Villagra J. (A),
57', Carabali O. 🟨,
59', Vidal A. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Romero M. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
62', Madrid A. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
65', Bovaglio L. 🟥,
69', Aviles T. ↓, Maturana M. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Correa J. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
78', Rabello B. ↓, Toloza S. ↑,
81', Yanez B. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
83', Hernandez L. ↓, Roman I. ↑,
90', Vidal A. ↓, Catalan R. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Castillo A. ⚽, Toloza S. (A),
90+4', Alarcon T. 🟨,
90+6', Mendez V. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 2.

Colo-Colo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

OHiggins is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colo-Colo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colo-Colo is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Colo-Colo will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now

Colo Colo: 81.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colo Colo	23	17	3	3	48:22	26	54
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	28:38	-10	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.26	Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Everton de Viña - Colo-Colo	3:4 ✺
24.07.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Millonarios - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.07.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Recoleta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWT
- OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.26	OHiggins - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes La Serena - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	OHiggins - Boca Juniors	1:1 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.07.26	Deportes Concepción - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.26	Boca Juniors - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
02.07.26	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	4:1
25.06.26	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	3:2
Chilean Primera Division
21.02.26	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	0:1
27.07.25	OHiggins - Colo-Colo	1:1
24.02.25	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	0:1
27.07.24	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	2:1
Chilean Cup
30.06.24	Colo-Colo - OHiggins	3:1

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