Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Augusto V. C. M. (Bra)


	São Paulo		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	9	Watch
	1.37	4.33	7
	1.31	4.6	8
	1.36	4.11	7.59
	1.4	3.9	8
	1.41	4.3	7.5
	1.42	4.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.43)	4.23 ↑ (3.8)	7.76 ↑ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
66.4%

Draw
21.7%

Ituano
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23.9%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

24.1%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

São Paulo - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ituano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 3.

Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ituano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ituano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Tigre - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
13.03.23	São Paulo - Água Santa	0:1 penalties ✺
05.03.23	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	1:3 ✺
25.02.23	São Paulo - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
21.02.23	São Bento - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWLW
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.03.23	Palmeiras - Ituano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.23	Ituano - Ceará	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
12.03.23	Corinthians - Ituano	1:2 penalties ✺
05.03.23	Ituano - Santos	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Princesa do Solimões - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.01.23	São Paulo - Ituano	0:0
30.01.22	São Paulo - Ituano	0:0
25.04.21	Ituano - São Paulo	0:3
27.03.19	Ituano - São Paulo	0:1
24.03.19	São Paulo - Ituano	2:1
21.02.18	Ituano - São Paulo	2:1
18.03.17	São Paulo - Ituano	1:1

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