Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 16

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Santomera		Bullense

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.45	4	6.2
	1.43	3.87	6.59
	1.45	3.98	6.86	Watch
	1.43	4	6.65
	1.45	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	3.96 ↑ (3.61)	6.42 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santomera
62.9%

Draw
22.9%

Bullense
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

17.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santomera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santomera's performance.

Bullense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (-24.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santomera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bullense than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bullense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santomera - Bullense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, El Aoud I. ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, El Aoud I. ⚽,
85', 4 - 0, Pastor J. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent matches Santomera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bullense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Santomera have a series of home games.

In this match Santomera is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.12.24	Santomera - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Santomera - Alcantarilla	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Caravaca - Santomera	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Santomera - Minerva	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Santomera - El Palmar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TWLTL
- CD Bullense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.12.24	Bullense - UCAM Murcia B	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Real Murcia B - Bullense	4:0 ✺
01.12.24	Bullense - Cartagena B	2:3 ✺
24.11.24	Deportivo Marítimo - Bullense	2:3 ✺
17.11.24	Bullense - Cieza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

Santomera - Bullense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide