Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 18Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday
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Santomera |
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Bala Azul |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.58 |
3 |
2.52 |
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 |
2.44 |
2.94 |
3.02 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
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2.61 |
3.02 |
2.51 |
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2.71 |
3.1 |
2.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.18) |
2.99 ↓
(3.15) |
2.6 ↓
(3.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santomera
34.9% | Draw
30.3% | Bala Azul
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santomera's form might have worsened.Bala Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bala Azul's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santomera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bala Azul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Santomera - Bala Azul Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 69', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)Recent performances by Santomera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Bala Azul is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Santomera could have a small edge in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santomera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).Including home match between the teams, Santomera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santomera | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
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| 13 | Bala Azul | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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