Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Santomera		Olímpico de Totana

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.05	2.38
	1.57	4.09	5.03	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.45
	2.67	3.02	2.46
	2.66	2.9	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.58)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.99 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santomera
38.4%

Draw
29.8%

Olímpico de Totana
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

27.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santomera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Olímpico de Totana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olímpico de Totana than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olímpico de Totana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santomera - Olímpico de Totana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Pastor J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Ecija A. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Hamza E. H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santomera	5	4	1	0	11:6	5	13
6	Olimpico de Totana	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Cartagena B - Santomera	4:4 ✺
21.12.25	Santomera - Real Murcia B	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Yeclano B - Santomera	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Santomera - Minerva	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pulpileño - Santomera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWL
- Olímpico de Totana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Olímpico de Totana - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Cieza - Olímpico de Totana	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Olímpico de Totana - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Muleño - Olímpico de Totana	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Cartagena B - Olímpico de Totana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWLW

Santomera - Olímpico de Totana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide