Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 7

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)


	Santos		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	5.5
	1.61	3.61	5.59
	1.48	4.19	6.39	Watch
	1.5	3.5	5.5
	1.59	3.74	5.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.4)	3.79 ↓ (4.15)	5.74 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
59.8%

Draw
24.2%

Atlético Mineiro
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.7%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.7%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santos - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Taty Amaro (C) 4. Ana Alice 17. Analuyza 34. Bonifacio E. 9. Carol Baiana 6. Isabela 2. Larissa Vasconcelos 18. Leticia Santos 8. Pires S. 88. Rafa Andrade 25. Vivian	1. Maike (G) 17. Amalia 25. Barraca 6. Diovanna 23. Hingredy 5. Ju Pacheco 13. Lari Danielle 2. Nine 55. Pimenta 18. Ramos C. 27. Thalita
Substitutes
16. Barbara Cuzzuol 20. Eudimilla 32. Giulia Giovanna 19. Larroquette M. 11. Laryh 12. Mayara (G) 5. Nath Pitbull 33. Pardal 3. Rafa Martins 70. Rincon Y. 13. Samara Venceslau	9. Anny Maraba 12. Iasmin Paixao (G) 10. Isadora Freitas 28. Kaiuska 4. Karen Bender 16. Karol Dias 7. Kelen 20. Lari Sanchez 8. Laura Maria 3. Lopez Maldonado V. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Diovanna 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Diovanna (Own goal),
44', Leticia Santos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramos C. ↓, Lari Sanchez ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Barraca ⚽,
65', Analuyza ↓, Larroquette M. ↑,
65', Vivian ↓, Laryh ↑,
66', Pimenta 🟨,
71', Lari Sanchez 🟨,
77', Amalia ↓, Isadora Freitas ↑,
77', Lari Danielle ↓, Kaiuska ↑,
83', Pires S. ↓, Rincon Y. ↑,
83', Larissa Vasconcelos ↓, Katrine ↑,
90', Pimenta ↓, Anny Maraba ↑,
90+1', Thalita ↓, Karen Bender ↑,
90+2', Carol Baiana ↓, Eudimilla ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1. Aggregate: 3-2. 2nd leg.

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 4.

Santos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético MG has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Santos is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Santos won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC Women
Brasileiro Women
03.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Santos	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Santos - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bahia - Santos	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Santos - Mixto	3:0 ✺
23.02.26	Cruzeiro - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLWT
- Atlético Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
30.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
27.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro A2 Women
18.08.25	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	2:1
11.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	1:0
25.04.25	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
Brasileiro Women
20.03.24	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	1:3
21.05.23	Santos - Atlético Mineiro	2:0
02.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	2:1

Santos - Atlético Mineiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide