Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 14

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Nasca (Nazca)


	Santos		Cantolao

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.1	6.5
	1.14	5.7	15.5
	1.17	5.65	11.6
				Watch
	1.17	6.1	11.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.4)	5.39 ↑ (4.14)	11.38 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
75%

Draw
17%

Cantolao
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

21.6%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

21.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cantolao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cantolao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santos - Cantolao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	12. Bettocchi R. (G)
	3. Baylon L.
	34. Cabello D.
	9. Calero A.
	24. Delgado V.
	80. Falcon L.
	20. Gomez J.
	27. Gonzales P.
	11. Oliva G.
	16. Ramos J.
	32. Taype S.
Substitutes
	10. Ardiles R.
	8. Lara J.
	. Ortega
	17. Rodriguez D.
	. Ureta

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Calero A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Villanueva C. ⚽,
73', Villanueva C. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽,
89', Munoz J. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ))

Cantolao is Liga 2 (Relegation Group )

Recent performances by Santos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cantolao is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Santos is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home match between the teams, Santos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
28.06.25	Universidad San Martín - Santos	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Santos	4:0 ✺
14.06.25	Santos - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Deportivo Coopsol - Santos	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Santos - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWT
- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 2
27.06.25	Cantolao - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Unión Comercio - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
16.06.25	Cantolao - Deportivo Coopsol	1:2 ✺
07.06.25	Moquegua - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
31.05.25	Cantolao - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
17.05.25	Cantolao - Santos	1:2
04.10.24	Cantolao - Santos	1:2
11.06.24	Santos - Cantolao	2:0
15.04.24	Cantolao - Santos	2:1

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