The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos 33.4%
Draw 31.8%
Comerciantes Belén 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
30.7%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.
Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comerciantes Belén's recent form is better than expected.
Santos - Comerciantes Belén Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Izaguirre P. (G) 39. Baylon J. 23. Carrizales S. 26. Franco J. 16. Marcos N. 20. Morales G. 70. Munoz J. 14. Quiroz G. 11. Rojas Castilla A. S. (C) 25. Toledo P. 32. Torres S.
1. Silva L. (G) 28. Acosta A. 6. Arevalo F. 7. Bazan J. 15. Guerrero Fonseca R. M. 10. Lemos M. 29. Perlaza V. 5. Pinedo D. 19. Ramua A. 3. Rios R. 33. Valdeblanquez J. (C)
Substitutes
13. Cano A. 5. Collante G. 9. Curiel M. 4. Fabriccio A. 22. Roman C. (G) 18. Romero J. 29. Taco D. 8. Tello Y. 30. Wesly
30. Arakaki H. 8. Flores L. 25. Gonzales Cainamari F. J. 43. Perez R. (G) 27. Reategui P. 21. Rivas A. 24. Rojas Ihuaraqui P. N. 17. Vela P. 9. Zambrano J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Perlaza V. 🟨,
34', Baylon J. 🟨,
41', Acosta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Baylon J. ↓, Curiel M. ↑,
55', Marcos N. 🟨,
56', 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Curiel M. ⚽,
69', Bazan J. ↓, Arakaki H. ↑,
69', Acosta A. ↓, Vela P. ↑,
69', Perlaza V. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
80', Torres S. ↓, Collante G. ↑,
88', Toledo P. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
88', Morales G. ↓, Tello Y. ↑,
88', Guerrero Fonseca R. M. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
88', Ramua A. ↓, Rojas Ihuaraqui P. N. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 0.
Comerciantes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Santos could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
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Izaguirre P. (G) 
Morales G. 
Munoz J. 
Lemos M. 
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