Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 12

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)


	Santos		Internacional de Limeira

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.44	4.2	7.25
	1.42	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.15	7.6
	1.43	4.48	7.74
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.41	4.25	7.48	Watch
	1.41	4.1	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	4.28 ↓ (4.45)	7.33 ↓ (7.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
65.7%

Draw
21.7%

Internacional de Limeira
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

19.3%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Internacional de Limeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Santos - Internacional de Limeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Paulo (G) 4. Hayner 2. Gil 6. Joaquim 3. Felipe Jonatan 8. Rincon T. (C) 5. Nonato 7. Romulo Otero 10. Cazares 11. Pedrinho 9. Furch J.	23. Max Walef (G) 22. JP Galvao 4. Diego Jussani 34. Matheus Mancini 16. Cesar Morais 8. Gustavo Bochecha 5. Emerson Santos 29. Lima 27. Albano 9. Quirino 19. Joao Felipe
Substitutes
15. Chermont J. P. 17. Diego Borges 12. Diogenes (G) 21. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Giuliano 22. Hyan C. M. S. 32. Jair Paula 16. Joao Schmidt 19. Marcelinho 13. Messias 20. Morelos A. 23. Weslley Patati	1. Andre Luiz (G) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 10. Fernando Canesin 20. Gabriel Silva 13. Guilherme Mariano 25. Kaue 28. Matheus Galdezani 18. Rafael Silva
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Junior Rocha

Preview

Santos is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent matches Santos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Inter de Limeira is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Inter de Limeira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santos is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Santos won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Santos - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
14.02.24	São Paulo - Santos	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.24	Zenit - Santos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWL
- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.03.24	Internacional de Limeira - Ituano	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Santo André - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Água Santa - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
26.01.22	Internacional de Limeira - Santos	0:0
18.04.21	Santos - Internacional de Limeira	2:1
30.01.20	Santos - Internacional de Limeira	2:0

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